Captain Drawdown’s daily logbook on every CDR story, paper, and expert voice — so you don’t have to read them all.
The Meadow Lake Tribal Council just signed a BECCS (bioenergy with carbon capture and storage) offtake with Microsoft for 626,000 tonnes. That’s not the headline most people will remember from this week. But it should be. The structural innovation inside that deal, and the four other numbers below, point to a CDR procurement stack that almost no one is staffed to execute against.
626,000 tonnes
The North Star Carbon Solutions BECCS offtake is a joint venture between Svante and the Meadow Lake Tribal Council in Saskatchewan. The deal structure matters more than the tonnage. Indigenous-led project finance in CDR has almost no precedent at this volume, which means counsel, feedstock agreements, and benefit-sharing frameworks are being drafted from a blank page. Developers pitching hyperscalers next year will be asked why their BECCS project doesn’t have an equivalent community ownership layer.
€5 billion
The European Commission approved €5B in state aid for Germany and Czechia covering carbon removal and green fuel projects. The eligibility mechanics are the real story. The published criteria will decide whether DAC, BECCS, biochar, and enhanced weathering (we wrote a primer on ERW here) each qualify as “removal” or get routed to the “green fuel” bucket. That classification decision will redirect hundreds of millions in project finance inside a single procurement cycle. Any EU developer without state-aid counsel on retainer is already behind.
$1.05 billion
The US Department of Energy confirmed Project Cypress and the South Texas DAC Hub retain their awards, $550M and $500M respectively. Only $50M each had been disbursed before the pause. The sector had written this money off. It’s back, and it dwarfs any single corporate CDR contract signed this year.
500,000 tonnes
Exomad Green and Supercritical inked a three-year biochar deal for up to 500 kt with neither Microsoft nor Frontier as the counterparty. That’s the data point worth sitting with. Durable CDR demand at serious volume now exists outside the hyperscaler channel. Not as theory, as signed contract.
44 million tonnes
Wil Burns pointed out on illuminem that total VCM-contracted durable CDR sits at 44 Mt cumulatively. Across all buyers. All years. That’s roughly 0.1% of annual global emissions.
“Fossil fuel extractors must sequester a rising percentage of their emissions, phased from 1% to 100% by mid-century. The VCM has only 44Mt contracted.” - Wil Burns (@linkedin.com/in/wilburns)
The pattern
These numbers don’t share a buyer, a pathway, or a jurisdiction. What they share is that none of them were produced by the procurement machine most CDR companies are staffed to sell into. EU state aid runs on competition-law mechanics. The Meadow Lake deal runs on Indigenous governance and benefit-sharing structures. The DOE restoration runs on federal appropriations law. Exomad-Supercritical runs on a non-hyperscaler buyer we’ve barely profiled. The VCM RFP playbook does not map to any of these four.
Time is the binding constraint. As Zeke Hausfather (@hausfath.bsky.social) noted this week, 2C by 2050 implies roughly 0.25C of warming per year, in line with model estimates. The 44 Mt ceiling of voluntary contracting against that pace is the argument, on its own, for building the in-house expertise to chase the other four numbers. Residual emissions only. CDR is not a license to slow fossil phase-out. But the procurement channels that will actually pay for residual removal at gigatonne scale are not the ones most developers have org charts for.
Watch the Commission’s published eligibility text on the Germany-Czechia approval. That document will move more project finance in the next six months than any hyperscaler RFP.
